TEXAS — A powerful cold front remains in play for Texas late next week, with early signals from the European model and its AI version showing a sharp drop in temperatures by Friday morning. Lows could fall into the 40s across much of the state, including 41 degrees in Dallas and 45 degrees in Houston. Weaker cool downs may also arrive sooner, though the major models are still struggling to reach agreement.
Euro and EuroAI Push Cold Front to the Coastal Bend by Friday Morning
Early signals from the Euro and EuroAI show the strong cold front sweeping south through Texas and reaching near Corpus Christi by next Friday morning. Most of the state would sit behind the front by sunrise.
Areas south of the boundary, including Nuevo Laredo near 54 degrees, would stay milder. Warmer air would hold along the Gulf waters just beyond the front.
Dallas, Tyler, and Abilene Could See Lows Near 41 to 42 Degrees
North Texas would feel the coldest air, with Dallas and Tyler both projected near 41 degrees and Abilene around 42 degrees. Texarkana and Lufkin come in near 43 degrees, while Shreveport sits close to 44.
Central Texas would also turn chilly, with Brownwood and Killeen both near 45 degrees. These numbers reflect early model guidance and are likely to shift as the week goes on.
Houston, San Antonio, and Beaumont Drop Into the Mid to Upper 40s
Southeast Texas would cool sharply behind the front, with Houston projected near 45 degrees and Beaumont around 48 degrees. San Antonio could fall to about 48 degrees, and Victoria near 49.
Morning plans and outdoor activities across the region would call for heavier layers and jackets if the European timing holds on Friday.
Models Struggle With Timing as More Frequent Fronts Arrive in November
Other major models show potential for a front at different times next week, and some runs bring weaker cool downs as early as the start of the week. Neither the major models nor their ensembles have reached a clear consensus.
Cooler air fronts are expected to become more frequent across Texas as November begins. Timing details for next week should become clearer over the coming days.
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