Where Our Forecasts Come From

A good plain-language forecast still has to be an accurate one. Here is where our briefings come from and how we write them.

The data

We start with official sources: observations, outlooks and model guidance from the National Weather Service and NOAA, including the Storm Prediction Center for severe weather and the National Hurricane Center in tropical season.

How we write it

We look for the one or two things that will actually affect your day — rainfall totals, snow amounts, wind gusts, the timing of a front — and lead with those. We give ranges, not false precision, and we say plainly when confidence is low.

What we don’t do

We don’t issue warnings, and we don’t chase hype. When a forecast changes, we update it. When we get something wrong, we say so. For official alerts, the National Weather Service is always the final word — see our Weather Disclaimer.