MEMPHIS, TN — A brief stretch of mild weather is giving way to a more unsettled midweek pattern across Memphis and the Mid-South. Forecasters say Wednesday brings mostly sunny skies for much of the day, but afternoon showers and thunderstorms are possible as a marginal risk of severe weather shifts north and east of Memphis.
That change comes after a fair to partly cloudy and chilly Tuesday night, with overnight lows in the 40s and low 50s and calm wind. The main message for the region is timing: the daytime hours should begin on a quieter note before conditions become more active later in the day.
The forecast also points to a fast cooling trend once the storm chance passes. By Friday and into the weekend, temperatures are expected to turn much colder.
Wednesday brings sunshine first, then scattered afternoon storms
Veterans Day starts with a mild feel across the area, and the morning is expected to stay mostly sunny. Sunrise is at 6:31 a.m. CT, and daytime highs are forecast in the low 70s, which is noticeably warmer than what follows later in the week.
Southwest wind around 5 to 15 mph will accompany the warmup. Forecasters say showers and storms become possible in the afternoon, which is when the marginal severe storm risk becomes most relevant for people planning travel, outdoor events or school activities.
The outlook does not call for a widespread outbreak, but it does flag a window when storms could become strong enough to deserve attention. That risk area is moving north and east of Memphis, signaling the greatest concern is not centered directly over the city but nearby.
Thursday turns sunny but noticeably cooler after the storm chance
Any storm threat should be short-lived, because Thursday is expected to settle into a calmer and cooler pattern. The day is forecast to be sunny, with morning lows in the 40s and afternoon highs topping out in the upper 50s to near 60 degrees.
That drop is a clear break from Wednesday’s mild conditions. After the possibility of afternoon showers and storms, Thursday becomes the first full day of the cooler pattern, offering a quieter setup for anyone who can wait out the midweek changes.
Even with the sun back out, temperatures will already be sliding toward a more seasonal feel. The region moves from a springlike mid-70s atmosphere to a much cooler late-week range in just a couple of days.
Friday starts the coldest stretch with lows in the 30s
Friday is the first day in the forecast that brings a more significant chill. The morning is expected to open in the 30s, and highs are only projected to reach the low 50s under sunny skies.
That is a sharp turn from the warmth and storm chances of Wednesday. The cooler air arriving Friday is one of the most important parts of the forecast because it affects the entire region’s end-of-week plans, from commutes to early morning routines.
The change also sets up the coldest stretch of the forecast heading into the weekend. Anyone heading out early Friday should be prepared for a much colder start than the previous two days.
Saturday and Sunday stay cold with early-morning lows near freezing
The weekend forecast continues the colder trend, and Saturday morning may be the chilliest period in the outlook. Overnight and early-day lows are expected in the low 30s, with afternoon highs only in the mid 50s despite sunny skies.
Sunday stays cold as well, with partly sunny conditions and a slight chance of showers. Morning lows remain in the low 30s, while afternoon temperatures are forecast to reach the mid 50s.
That means the region will stay in a cool, late-fall pattern after the brief midweek warmup. The shift is notable because it comes quickly and may catch people off guard if they are still thinking in terms of Wednesday’s mild conditions.
Monday stays chilly before temperatures recover a bit
The forecast eases slightly by Monday, but it does not fully rebound. Conditions are expected to be partly cloudy and chilly, with morning lows in the mid and upper 30s and afternoon highs near 60 degrees.
That keeps the area on the cool side, though not as cold as Saturday and Sunday mornings. The pattern suggests a gradual recovery rather than an immediate return to the warmer air seen at the start of the week.
For Memphis and nearby communities, the bigger weather story remains the rapid swing from mild and stormy midweek conditions to much colder air by the weekend. The FOX13 Memphis forecast highlights that transition as the key setup for the days ahead.